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Labour's next leader?

Nick Robinson | 16:47 UK time, Monday, 22 September 2008

Don't build up your hopes they said before the speech of "Labour's next leader". David Miliband had only been given seven minutes to speak, they said, and, besides, he could only talk about foreign affairs. That's what you call depressing expectations.

David MilibandWhen the speech came, though, it was more than 20 minutes long and strayed a long long way beyond foreign affairs. Thus, "Labour's next leader" hailed Gordon Brown for his achievements in the past - increasing international aid and banning cluster bombs - whilst stressing that what mattered was what Labour would do in the future.

Thus, he spoke of "defeating fatalism with hope" and made it abundantly plain that this is what he could offer his party. Thus, he sought to rouse the audience by declaring that "these Tories" (a Blair phrase) "are beatable". Nothing in the text was openly disloyal but everything about it declared "I'm here if you want me to lead you".

It was a much better speech than last year's although he still delivers a text like an eager company executive briefing his junior staff. The party was warm towards him although the hall was far from full for the biggest speech at this conference after Gordon Brown's.

This, then, felt like the performance of a man slowly establishing himself as one of his party's big players. However, from my position in the hall, I detected none of the buzz, none of the electricity, none of the raw anticipation necessary to inspire people to resign their ministerial jobs in order to depose a sitting prime minister.

Comments

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  • Comment number 1.

    Well if Miliband's all they've got then we are all doomed. He is straight out of the Harman mould of 'our policies work better than yours but you're just not listening'

    Totally and utterly incapable of making policy recommendatin clever and politically attractive. Everyone is sick to death of government, local authorites and business slapping on 'green taxes' with no calcualation or explanation of where the money is going.

    He's a wlaking disaster zone; I hope they pick him and we can hear more of his inspiring speeches on what 'a dangerous old world' it is out there; thanks, David.

    Call a general election.

  • Comment number 2.

    If you saw Diane Abbott on 'This Week' last Thursday, you'd have heard her say that her "understanding" was that if Labour lose Glenrothes then the cabinet would move against Brown.

    Now Diane may well be a bit of a rebel, but I can't help inferring from that comment that all the dissatisied Labour MPs have been asked to keep quiet and pretend to be united behind Gordon until the election is done with.

    As for Milliband, well he doesn't need to do much as we're already talking about him as a replacement.

    The blue touchpaper is already alight.

  • Comment number 3.

    Based of frequent chats with friends and acquaintances over the past few weeks the general opinion is that Miliband is as electable as Brown and Labour. ie non-electable.

    In fact Miliband has been treated as a figure of fun, schoolboy, Mr Bean, etc.

  • Comment number 4.

    Milband is jokingly referred to on another blog forum as the millipede. Of far more importance, especially to the Prime Minister at bay, Gordon Brown, is not how many legs this person has to run, but how many faces this many faceted politician actually has!

  • Comment number 5.

    Milliband as leader? We're better off with Gordon Brown.

    I cannot take Milliband seriously. In his role as Foreign Secretary he hasn't exactly accomplished much. He looks like a graduate trainee.

    Perhaps he'd be better employed at the photocopier.

  • Comment number 6.

    I really think he has a lot of growing up to do before he even looks old enough to be a politician let alone a prime minister.
    I'm afraid times have changed in one fell swoop and young inexperienced career politicians have had their day. Certainly for some time to come.
    There are some in the Tory party who should also take note.
    What the electorate need desperately are politicians with vast experience of the bad times and what was learned from past mistakes that can be put into practice now. Like it or not what's ahead is going to be very unpleasant for all of us.
    Politicians won't be given an easy time just in case they might break down under questioning.
    They will be expected to give honest answers to some hard questions.
    Certainly a time to sort the men from the boys.
    Or women from the girls.

  • Comment number 7.

    Nick, how did it compare to Blair's first conference speech as home affairs spokesman back in the 90's? Obviously a different time and person but there must be parallels in how they set out their stall.

  • Comment number 8.

    #2 SudaNim

    It's a paradoxical situation that Labour in England will only move against Brown if he loses a bye-election in Scotland - the one part of Britain with a wholly different political dynamic, in which the Tories make no gains in the polls, and compete with the LDs for 3rd place.

    Any Labour strategy which was more "Old Labour" might gain some votes in Scotland, but would lose even more in England, and going with even more neo-liberal policies in England will lose Scottish votes.

  • Comment number 9.

    If Milliband is the best they have got then god help 'em. Is Labour mad?

    He's just another elitist political class tax n' spend socialist, constantly describing how his big and very expensive government will generate equality and fairness, but ignoring that Labour have been in power for 11 years and things have gone backwards. Never explaining why it's governments job to create equality and fairness.
    Stuff fairness and the egalitarian society, things are so bad now that frankly I'd be happy with my bins being collected every week not bi-weekly!

    His policies that he built under Blair have been frankly disastrous. I'm sure he'll make a great leader.......not

  • Comment number 10.

    Milipede is not a leader.

    His family background is political. His whole adult life has been in politics (he hasn't had what anyone real would call an 'honest job'). He is popular only with other policy wonks within the Westminster bubble. To the public at large he is a vapid nothing.

    The Russian Foreign Minister, Sergei Lavrov, best knows how to speak to this upstart geek - as when he gave him a verbal lashing about Georgia. (Look it up: Lavrov used quite colourful - and very non-diplomatic - language. But very apt).

  • Comment number 11.

    So, no actual evidence for any of this, but so what? You do sometimes remind me of one of those people who claim to find earth-shaking coded messages in the Bible. Or the Harry Potter books. Or Enid Blyton. Or anything.

  • Comment number 12.

    whilst stressing that what mattered was what Labour would do in the future.

    Its the only strategy left; dont look too closely at what weve done, look over there quick theres trouble coming.

    Hes not wrong.




  • Comment number 13.

    Tony Blair's first conference speech (as Shadow Energy Secretary) was a disaster - he turned over two pages of his script at once, lost his place, fumbled around and got almost no applause from conference at all.

  • Comment number 14.

    What the electorate need desperately are politicians with vast experience of the bad times and what was learned from past mistakes that can be put into practice now.

    I'm about the same age as millipede. Worryingly I may have the same haircut too. Unlike millipede however I paid attention during the last housing bubble so my plan to deal with this one would have been simple. I would not have allowed it to inflate in the first place. As per this governments 1997 election manifesto.

    Security in housing

    ....

    The Conservatives' failure on housing has been twofold. The two thirds of families who own their homes have suffered a massive increase in insecurity over the last decade, with record mortgage arrears, record negative equity and record repossessions. ........

    We will reject the boom and bust policies which caused the collapse of the housing market.


    The more you read of Labours 1997 manifesto the more you realise just how little they learned in their 18 years of opposition. It's almost as if 1997 was their 'happy place' and they'd like to return us all there except with twice the national debt and three times the personal debt.

    Like it or not what's ahead is going to be very unpleasant for all of us.

    Of course that is what is so particularly galling. One bunch totally screws up the economy but we all end up having to pay to fix it. If we could just confine the pain to the clowns who voted Labour that would teach them not to do it again. Ever. But no. We're all stuck with this poisoned well economy overseen by a bunch of sixth-form debator-types who have not even a tenuous grip on the truth. The ones that do have a grip on the truth only use it as a frame-of-reference to be avoided while they pitch their onslaught of misinformation and half-truths.

  • Comment number 15.

    It has a Groundhog Day feel to it. Same old, same old. The problem is not here within labour it's there outside. Nobody making a move towards unshipping Brown because at 5 to 10% chance of winning the next election NuLabour hasn't bottomed out yet, has to drop further, how low can you go. No sign of anything other than inward looking. However can't hold a wake forever can they. Long way to the next election, something has to give. Wonder how many time we are due to hear Brown is the best Chancellor, even though he is actually a PM in his current job. Alistair Darling is a sort of mirage Chancellor, anything that would normally be down to the Chancellor, Brown claims credit for. Interesting that the most vocal supporters of Brown adopt his outlook and quotes, quite Mao at times, seem to get more Mao as it goes along.

  • Comment number 16.

    But lets be honest. This is a win-win for the country. If the boy Milligramme seizes the only chance he'll ever get be to be PM, even if only for 18 months, then Labour will still get exterminated in 2010.

    The only up-side is that we won't have to wait till 2010 to see Brown emerging blubbing from number 10 having destroyed this nation for a generation. Perhaps, in a throwback to 1997, we could organise a few thousand spontaneous 'well-wishers' to boo him all the way up the M1 on his way back to Kirkcaldy.

  • Comment number 17.

    His repetitons... how to interpret them? Is it 'a rose is a rose is a rose'... or '...are you listening?'?

    For a top spokesperson of the party - who are collectively repeating the tantra 'now is not the time for in-fighting' he seemed to spend a long time on the subject himself.

    And wasn't Gordon a touch slow in getting to his feet?

    Only minor points from me today :)

  • Comment number 18.

    A fascinating document has turned up which reveals some sensational news about the Titanic. Apparently, when it was realised that the Captain was off his head - driving the ship at full speed into an icefield, in the dark - he was relieved of his command, and replaced by the chief steward. (The ship still sank).

    No, not really; but it's a good analogy for the idea of replacing Gordon Brown with David Millipede.

    The point here is Cabinet collective responsibility. If it is assumed that Brown has failed then so, by collective responsibility, have his cabinet colleagues. If Labour were to change their leader, then their only - and incredibly slender - chance would lie in selecting a replacement untainted by collective responsibility. Frank Field, maybe; Michael Meacher, conceivably; Millipede? - no way.

  • Comment number 19.

    His mannerisms and the way he spoke just echoed Tony Blair. The long pauses after important points were made, to make sure the audience understood what was being said. Made me feel quite nauseous.

  • Comment number 20.

    10 MaxSceptic: "His family background is political. His whole adult life has been in politics (he hasn't had what anyone real would call an 'honest job'). "

    So unlike those well known sons of toil Cameron and Osborne, then! (Unless you consider being PR man for the company that produced the immortal Crossroads as being a real (let alone honest) job).

  • Comment number 21.

    I believe that anyone could do better than Gordon Brown!
    As for the comment above in relation to Milliband being too young to be a Politician never mind a Prime Minister, I believe that this country's Government needs to get in touch with those of us who are the future leaders of the country.
    I think that is discrediting younger people to say that Milliband is too young (and lets put this into perspective, Milliband is in his 40's, not his teens) and also I honestly think that this country has had one too many middle aged men as our leader. It's time for a change, perhaps not necessarily a Tory Government but certainly a shake up and a step away from the stereotypical white middle aged public school man, to a person who has experienced the tight money days and has NOT gone into politics for the wrong reasons but has gone into it to make a difference beneficial to ALL not just the middle class!
    Also, as a person from Northern Ireland, whose executive has not met in 3 months, I must also express the concern of what a change in Government will do to the delicate situation and the prospect of full devolution of policing and justice powers.

  • Comment number 22.

    Think it should be Millibrain, as in no brain-er, or possibly Millibran, something you can choke on every morning at breakfast, sold as being good for you even though you find it difficult to stomach.

  • Comment number 23.

    This speech was about as inspiring as Iain Duncan Smith's final speech as leader at the Tory party conference before he was ousted.

    God help us!

  • Comment number 24.

    I don't expect great things from David Miliband either. There is no point in just changing a leader.

  • Comment number 25.

    If Milliband is the answer then one has to ask what was the question?

    Oh yes, Gordon Brown is a disaster as Prime Minister so who might replace him if the party allowed anyone to receive nomination papers for the leadership of the Labour party as set out in the Labour consitution?

    Lots of hurdles there, I think.

    Only a fool in the current Labour Party will want to take over from Mr.Brown. The economy is going to hell on wheels thanks to Mr.Brown, New Labour have wasted 1.3 trillion pounds in eleven years on public service reform to no avail, and they have all been living it up in Westminster at the taxpayers' expense.

    No, to want to inherit that disaster suggests to me that either Milliband is not serious or he is barking mad like the previous Prime Minister.

    Who knows, as a Blairite, he might emulate his hero and start a war with Russia because they are rude people who swear.

  • Comment number 26.

    Frankly, like most of the country I don't give a MIlliband who is the next leader. I just want them out of power and into the history books before they totally wreck this poor nation.

  • Comment number 27.

    #8 The time and place of bye elections is not under anybody's control - not even the Labour spin machine can make its MPs immortal.

    They don't have a great track record in England either - though for a Scot Nat, I suppose Henley-on-Thames may be "a far away country of which we know little".

  • Comment number 28.

    jimbrant @20

    Cameron's seven years in the private sector may not have been the most wonderful of examples, but it sure beats zero years hands down.

    What life experience can Milipede bring to the table? Are you certain that actually really understands - let alone represents and reflects - the experiences and aspirations of his constituents in South Shields?

    At least the likes of Prescott could presumably mix and serve a half-decent gin and tonic. (But, then, on reflection, probably not).

  • Comment number 29.

    Groundhog day sums it all up, nothing about this conference would instill confidence in any of the voting public, and I somehow doubt if any of the Labour members of parliament will be changing their plans for employment seeking after the next election. The chancellor is the most unconvincing speaker imaginable; which is probably why he joined the Labour party in the first place rather than attempt to pursue a career as a lawyer. Like Brown, he is now out of his depth.
    Milliband on the other hand is the epitome of Cassius, fawning over Caesar and keeping the dagger handy. I can't help thinking that here is a man who would probably have been runner up on the short list for Heinrich Himmler's job. Imagine opening a coffin and finding Milliband grinning up at you; keep the garlic handy ! We also had Tony Woodley screaming for punishment of the " fat cats " of industry, this from probably the fattest cats of all, the big unions who blackmail governments and the taxpayer into filling their pockets. Suddenly he's concerned about the poor and the vulnerable, I don't think.

  • Comment number 30.

    It's a little sad that the best hope for Labour is a cosseted kid from a marxist philospher's family, who has never done a proper job in his life.

    Funny how a guy with 3 "Bs" and a "D" at A level ended up with a great degree from a great university. (Goodness knows what Gordon Brown would have had to say about his acceptance in the first place, when a girl from a comprehensive, with straight As couldn't make it!!!) Just goes to show how good universities must have been, in his time, to bring out nascent intelligence.

    Pity that there are so few people across the parties who have "real-world" experience.

    I guess that's why people like Vince Cable (and even Alex Salmond) appear rather more grounded. Not that I'd vote for their parties.

    But we send this untested back-room boy abroad to represent the UK. Why? Because Gordon felt the need to "neutralise" him. By PROMOTING him... To a position where his Russian equivalent could hardly bear to listen to him.

    For goodness sake, if Balir hadn't the cojones to sack Brown for being a real pain in the posterior, I half hoped that Brown would chuck out some of the Blairite sycophants and get a bit of solidity back into government.

    Just look. The possible successors to Brown appear to be Miliband, Balls, Purnell, Smith and Harman.

    It's bad enough now.

    I just don't understand how Brown saying that he is going to sort out today's problems - while he has been busy creating them for a decade - can swing it for the nation.

    I guess you can fool some of the people all of the time. I just hope that will be a minority.

  • Comment number 31.

    Echoes of the 1990s are starting to become apparent with the Labour Party.

    Steer the country through difficult times, change leader at the correct time (David Miliband in September 2009) and an Opposition whose popularity is based on a government performing badly and not for what they can offer the country.

    Does this not remind anyone of the Margaret Thatcher, John Major, Neil Kinnock era of the 1990s when an unpopular Margaret Thatcher was replaced with John Major who went on to defeat a supposedly popular Neil Kinnock Labour Party who got found out for only being popular because the Conservatives were performing badly at the start of the 1990s.

    When the difficult times passed the electorate never forgot it was the Conservatives who steered them.

    Dejavu anyone?

  • Comment number 32.

    Sillyband as party leader?

    Never before in the field or British Polotics has such tripe been given such hype

    roll on the Election

  • Comment number 33.

    Milliband: Remarks on his CV:

    1. Never done a proper job.
    2. Tainted by association
    3. Deep Marxist roots
    4. No record of achievement
    5. No charisma
    6. No credibility
    7. Twerp

    Totally unsuitable material for job of Prime Minister, but fine for the job of Labour leader, since becoming the latter will safely preclude the former.

  • Comment number 34.

    To be frank, I'm not really interested in conjecture surrounding Milliband's future plans.

    I'm currently watching the C4 news and am becoming more and more angry at the lack of commitment given to reform by Alistair Darling - he still doesn't seem to get it.

    Someone, preferrably Gordon Brown (Alistair Darling seems superfluous), has got to start talking in terms of not what a great system we have but how our system has failed - resulting in the taxpayer underwriting banking losses that were driven by selfish greed on one hand and the consumer being fleeced by energy companies.

    But no, it's not happening - the denial continues. Richard Lambert, DG of the CBI, and an ex-MPC member and powerful government lobbyist seems entirely confident that regulation of corporate greed is not on the agenda. Dare I say it, but if you stick lipstick on a pig, it's still a pig!

    To me, I don't care what the Conservatives did or would have done - it's academic. The present government needs to start be honest with itself.

    Whilst I have no desire to live in the States, at least Congress is able to scrutinise what the government are doing. UK parliament in that respect is sadly impotent to challenge 'pork barrel' politics.

  • Comment number 35.

    Nick - I found the moan about you being like the type that finding codes in the bible funny - Why don't you rename yourself - The Blog of Revelations.

    (You have to report something even if there is nothing new coming out of the mouths of NuLabour, must be challenging. You would think a party with a current 5 to 10% chance at the next election would have something new they could say, even if it was lets jump out of windows.)

  • Comment number 36.

    His speech to the Fabian Society was mind numbingly dull too.

  • Comment number 37.

    "none of the buzz, none of the electricity, none of the raw anticipation..."

    That seems to be labour all round of late and if truth be told, the Conservatives.

    Listening to Milliband is akin to listening to Blair a decade back, or even Cameron.

    Britain does not need another career politician. We require a leader who has some grounding in "real life" - not the rarified atmosphere of priviledge and politics.

    Unfortunately the level headed leaders we require are rarely involved directly in politics.

    I'm alarmed at my current thoughts that I may just vote Lib Dem, as I don't like the other two devils, even though I know them... I suspect I'm hardly alone in this.

  • Comment number 38.

    29

    Careful with the Himmler remarks. Miliband - Jewish roots.

    Expect a knock at the door - soon!!!!

    1984 and all that.

  • Comment number 39.

    It would be far less a waste of taxpayer's money if BBC journalists REPORTED the labour party conference, instead of speculating about leadership contests which are yet to happen.

  • Comment number 40.

    Nick
    Realise it's a quiet night and there's no football on telly but what exactly did Miliband say which leads to your conclusion "I'm here if you want me to lead you" He's a high ranking member of the government. Should he have said he never wants to lead his party come hell or high water? The Tory press could then have worked itself into a lather over "Foreign Secretary has no ambition - election must be called"
    This is conjecture and rumour feeding off itself to justify the employment of political commentators at license-payers' expense on a slow day. Sometimes you may ask yourself why it is that politicians of all parties nowadays talk as though they have been programmed. A missed comma, a different inflection and certainly anything extemporaneous is grasped by the media and political opponents as evidence of an impending coup. Get a grip.
    Our esteemed Foreign Secretary must be gratified, however, to see that the conservative cheerleaders on these pages are wallowing in "amending" his name to variations - millipede, miligram, minibrain etc etc as nauseum - which may once have been mildly funny but are now pretty boring (the old codger who writes a column for the Daily Express ran them all out months ago) . Gentlemen - I may be even tempted to vote for your party one day. Am I to believe that it is still dominated by a public-schoolboy culture which makes up for threadbare arguments by resorting to self-indulgent name-calling ? It could be a slippery slope to unspeakable things behind the bike sheds.. And remember, there's a man called Balls coming up shortly. Reclaim your dignity fast, gents.

  • Comment number 41.

    *Apostrophe missing, penultimate paragraph, first line.

  • Comment number 42.

    Miliband bangs on about beating the Conservatives.......

    ......... a very inward looking speech...........

    ....shouldn't he instead by trying to communicate to the electorate and saying 'this what we are going to do for the country'?

    This attitude just shows Labour are only interested about being in power for powers sake. Well clinging onto power anyway.


    Academic really - the public want Labour driven from office.

  • Comment number 43.

    Post 18

    Titanic nice.

    Captain Pugwash is the image I have with NuLabour. Sailing on the Sea of Debt. Assisted by Master Bates the Cabin Boy and One Eyed Jack with the telescope to the blind eye. Oh Arggh. Watch out we're heading for another Bank. Passengers will complain if we have to pass the hat around, only just got over having to help when the Black Pig hit the Northern Rock. You just can't get the right sort of passengers these days. Moan moan moan. Complaining there are too many stowaways in the SouthEast part of the Black Pig. Said it was going to be too cold in the winter and then moaned when we had a whip around for loft insulation, it not the captains fault some will wait for 10 years for it to be put in. Captain Pugwash has lashed himself to the wheel again, never been the same since the last Captain started talking to god. Hey watch out theres another Bank, the passangers had better get bailing out again.

    Better put another message in a bottle and throw into the Channel of Moderation. Send gold, paper money no good. Captain Pugwash still heading for Fantasy Island. Help

  • Comment number 44.

    Nick,

    I wish I didn't have to say this but the situation is actually, well, not to put too fine a point on it, BORING. Yes, I'm actually bored, by this rubbish. Get a grip, get it sorted, but most of all get jaw jaw Gordon out.

    I'm off to revise for a philosophy exam. Shows how bored I am.

  • Comment number 45.

    Post 31

    I find the similarity striking. Both governments have used house market manipulation - even if it has been via non intervention when intervention was needed - to buy off an electorate with a hook into massive personal debt and the illusion of wealth. Both crashed financially due to external international financial pressure. Both triggered recessions with widescale but indiscrimiate and arbitary private sector collapse. Both leaders at the start of the regimes sounded rational, both ended up thinking they could talk to god. Both liked hands off free markets. Major was a caretaker, Brown is a undertaker. Both Thatcher and Blair loved the USA. Wars deflected the public away from economic problems for both. Could be Brown will be as memorable as Major historically.

    Methinks avoiding another ride around the loop is best avoided, no Thatcher Blair morphs need apply.

  • Comment number 46.

    Despite all the media speculation, Brown isn't going anywhere. None of the Labour MPs had the courage to stand against Brown for election as party leader, so it's doubtful any will have the courage to challenge him now.

    The mood at the conference today amongst rank and file delegates was that the party should stop squabbling. It's unlikely that any challenger would have much support.

    As for the country at large, whatever labour do or don't do, they are now doomed. It's far too late to pull out of this nose-dive. It's easy to put on the blame on Brown, but the real problem is that ordinary voters are fed up with Labour's failed policies: the money wasting, high taxes, high borrowing, nanny state, surveillance Britain, ID cards, HIPs, broken promise on referendum, democratic deficit for England compared with Scotland, denial of life saving drugs, fortnightly rubbish collections etc etc

  • Comment number 47.

    Have peoples opened minds been closed by their impertinent belief, that only the wealthy can steer the wheel of economics.

    We have come along way since the 1980's
    why would anyone, want a return to 15%
    interests rates, high unemployment, failing schools, underfunded hospitals,shocking poverty levels.

    The spoon fed minority, have spat the dummy, they want their feed of conservative tripe..cuts...cuts and more cuts they scream.

    Shrinking imperial conservatives, little by nature...little by policies..little by little they fade away.


    Cameron..new face..same old agenda..
    by the way..how many privately educated toffs pay for their certificates of education?


    You couldn't make this up....the tories...when faced with a new world...cry foul and inverse to the thatcherite mode.

  • Comment number 48.

    Hmm.

    So if you aren't happy with NuLabour and have some light relief laffing at Miliband you must be a Tory, or Lib Dem, or some other affiliation. Dream on. And Balls is funny he is hilarious the way he smiles as soon as he realises the camera is on him, like somebody has pulled his string. Me I'm disappointed with NuLabour, sold me a pup and it turn into a bear. A default Cameron is not enticing. Many people will be casting around for something in the next election, could be dangerous.

  • Comment number 49.

    The test of a true (potential) leader is the ability of others to parody his mannerism and expressions.

    John Major was easy, dull and grey. Tony Blair was nearly the Cheshire cat, all teeth but no smile and Gordon Brown is pure sulk and bitten nails.

    David Miliband is a bit of a problem. I have yet to master the art of talking whilst having my eye browns move about independently of the laws of physics..!

    RADA or wot?

  • Comment number 50.

    Nick Robinson's blog gets worse and worse.
    Conjecture and bereft of meaningful facts.
    How many more times will he attempt to manufacture a story that really isn't there?

    Because of the people who contribute here, a few of whom I vehemently disagree with, I return and take part. The quality of writing, opinions voiced and eloquence of many, even the facetious ones, me included, are twice as good as paid employee Robinson.

    I write articles for magazines myself and I think I can spot a dud some way off. To be honest, thank heavens for Robert Peston. He might be in the spotlight presently for his expose last week of the Lloyds/HBOS merger, but his words are considered, based on fact and worth reading.

    Just my personal opinion, but in Nick Robinson's haste to publish something, anything, to fill his blog, frequently the quality diminishes. Why not leave it a day or two before filing, rather than publish something somewhat tenuous?

    Nine out of ten times contributions from regulars go miles off tangent, Robinson could kick off with the colour of Harmans knickers and the thing would take on a life of it's own, which, for me is the beauty of this blog.

    Am I a lone voice? If so, tell me and I'll shut up!! Cheers everyone, you included Grandantidote, CEH, derekbarker, dhwilkinson and all your chums in the red corner I'll never agree with but whose words are always eagerly awaited. Bizarre!!

  • Comment number 51.

    This comment was removed because the moderators found it broke the house rules. Explain.

  • Comment number 52.

    His speech might work wonders for the flock I for one thought 'Oh aye it's show time', it's action and not words I wanna see.... and no dithering!

    I bet he didn't write the speech himself and that it had to be censored... just another load of hot wind as usual all this preachin' and very little action.

    What gets me is why on earth ministers spend all their time and energy telling us this and that when they should be getting the job done...

    ... also bet they only just thought of doing this n' that, what sort of ministers are they?

    Not good enough, we want a government thats good at governing not darn lecturing and self confessions.

    Pure show and nothing more.

  • Comment number 53.

    It is quite pitiful.

    Thay all want to be Obama, well, the younger ones like this Milliband anyhow.

    And the elders such as Brown just want to stand next to Obama and hope that some of the 'magic' rubs off.

    To ordinary folks, I suspect these Party Conferences seem to resemble a strange kind mixture of zoo/big Brother event.

    The politicians sweat and sweat and sweat over their speeches which are desparately, desparately important to those who must 'perform'.

    What a strange netherworld these politicians inhabit, with their whispered asides in dark corners as they plot and scheme to do down some big beast of the political jungle.

    Soon it is all over and they depart the conference ... in this case, to prepare for electoral oblivion in 2010, no matter who their leader is.

  • Comment number 54.

    milli's vanilli

  • Comment number 55.

    Irrespective of who might be the next leader of the Labour party - or the country, for that matter, though I hope the two jobs will not be coterminous for too much longer -one thing has become abundantly clear: sooner or later, our taxes are going to go through the roof to pay for this mess.

    Can anybody suggest even one good argument against leaving before the tax bill arrives?

  • Comment number 56.

    the problem with the leadership debate is it's Labour who people want rid of, changing the leader whilst not calling an election would be a foul move reminiscent of a one party state - it's arrogance that labour think they have a right to rule the country, if they showed some integrity and bowed to the people they might get some more respect from me - but then i don't matter because i live in the south

    it's a pity the tories have to win by default, some etonian toffs without any policies, except 'hide and wait til the election'

  • Comment number 57.

    Post 50 asks - Am I lone voice.

    Course you are, didn't you realise, we are all lone voices. Opinion is pointless for 18 months and may not matter then, depends where you live. The economic deed is done and most, but not all, will pay, a minority dearly. In the same way that somebody else always has a minor operation and the one you have yourself is always major, the impact of this government will depend on how it hits you. Some may well remain wealthy and thankful. It is remarkable how concerns about policy are taken as a demand to return to another era. In the meantime numb your brain because the lunatics are running the asylum and if you shout too loud you can disturb those who are already disturbed, or those who do not approve of laughter, or those who wish to remain in their illusion. Nothing is said here that far cleverer people havent been saying for a long time. Try some 60s Bob Dylan.

  • Comment number 58.

    47:
    This thread is concerned with the question of who might be Labour's next leader and not the perceived shortcomings of David Cameron. If you can't stick to the subject please don't bother to contribute because we're not interested!

  • Comment number 59.

    # 56

    That is not a problem for English people because we 'need' the Tories to fill the boots by default.

    That should then be enough to tip the Scottish electorate into voting for full independence in November 2010.

    Which also sets us English free.

    Then we English can sort out 'Dave' and his motley crew.



  • Comment number 60.

    # 56 tarquin

    You are right about not mattering because you live in the South. It's clear that this Scottish dominated government has bestowed no end of "gifts" on those living north of the border, including their own parliament. However, Labour's attempt to bribe the Scottish voters has backfired spectacularly. Having opened this constitutional can of worms, if Scotland eventually opts for full independence, Labour will find it difficult to win another election down South.

    The Labour party is out of ideas, out of steam and out of time.

    Looking at the Labour Party Conference, it has the appearance of Scrapheap Challenge.

  • Comment number 61.

    Nick,

    so America is going to sort out its problems then is it?

    I would not want to be the victor in the presidential elections if you paid me. They will be taking over such a disaster.

    As it looks like an Obama victory then the Republicans will want to hand over a complete mess.

    As for Team GB I mean it will be brilliant if our Gordon does pull something out of the hat and wins. Exactly how long do you think it would last before the country implodes. We may even have a repeat of the 60s where there were governments with very small majorities, just what you need during what many are now agreeing with me will be a repeat of the Great Depression.

    I must find out where the revolution is going so that I can lead it :-)

  • Comment number 62.

    Nick doesn't illuminate policy or practice, but any conference has business to get through and can't afford to have everyone step beyond their allotted time. However, some leeway is often built in for star performers. Miliband was clearly on a roll so it's not unusual for him to use up more time. There's books on this. I suggest people read them.

    I've been generally impressed with the quality of Miliband’s thinking. Indeed, the last essay he delivered that caused a storm in the press is exactly what I asked for in this blog only the day before. I'm not especially interested in conference speeches nor a Labour party member but the gist of his speech sounded about right.

    Many organisations have a more sober CEO who gets on with business while a star performer helps focus and motivate staff and customers. Does anyone ask whether Nick Robinson wants to be Director General of the BBC? Of course, I can't prove anything but I have a gut feeling Nick has ambitions beyond being political editor.

  • Comment number 63.

    60:

    Great post. It was interesting, in the HBOS situation, to contrast the apparent importance of saving jobs in Edinburgh with the complete indifference to what might happen to employees in Halifax. I think that Labour might pay a high electoral price for that in northern England.

    I must say, though, that I've a tiny bit more sympathy for Brown, etc, today than I've had for some time. Reason is this: I watched the Labour conference for the first time in years, and was shocked at quite what a bunch of morons the leadership has to answer to.

  • Comment number 64.

    Through the grape vine....

    Carol thatcher....might be the tories next leader......

    "Thats Right" from the jungle...to the jungle.

    Ape that in your diary......(what a thought)

  • Comment number 65.

    #34 has it right... miliband is not important, its all waffle and style from him

    todays big speech was darlings.

    i have to ask (as others are starting to ask) at the end of august, darling announced "we face the worst financial problems in 60 years!"

    3 weeks before the market bust and bounced around all over the place.... what did he know that us normals didnt?

    was it a simple way to forwarn us all so he could say "i told you so!" or was it something more devious?
    i would like to see how much money was donated to the labour party between the date of his announcement and the date of the crash...

  • Comment number 66.

    The deviation from the thread occurring is probably because the subject is not able to be discussed in an sensible way when there is such a lack of obvious candiates that will apeal to the voters, which I presume is what is wanted by the Labour party, although at times you do wonder.

    It does not help when the public reaction is that Labour is a lost cause - and Labour, whilst showing signs of disunity growing, do not appear to show any sign of engaging in seriously tackling the issue.

    If Labour are fundimentally unatractive, as somebody has already pointed out, it becomes a bit irrelevant who leads them. In that sense the thread becomes irrelevant.

    The biggest problem Labour have is they are all tarred by being on watch when this mess happened, and very few would appear to believe the problems elsewhere story.

    Miliband is apparently the luvvy of the party but he has already slyly floated his proposal and the public did not bite. He meantime is heseltining his hair. He didnt get a great resonse at conference. Prescot biffs people. Too many of the rebels are wildcards with unsound policy or too inexperienced. That is why the subject is deadbeat. Its a struggle.

    Brown and his gang have very cleverly painted themselves into the corner. They cannot easily state a new direction without admiting the problems are home grown. For a political party there do not appear many politicians in it.

    Getting the message across and connecting with the voter worked in the 90s, you don't have to be a genius to see the lack of that attribute. Part of the problem is that they left all of that stuff to Blair and he has gone and nobody has tried to develope the skill. It is not a question of personailty led politics, it is a basic need to communicate.

    Perhaps Blair and Brown suffocated others developing or Labour just is inexperienced in dealing with real problems rather than concetrating on a surveilence society and imaginary global influence.

    Its a vegative state and switch off looks the likely outcome. Same probably for the thread although is may wander on a bit, just like Labour.

    It is complacent to guess Cameron is automatically in. He maybe, maybe not. Lib Dem or BNP could blossom or others. Could be a hung parliment. Could be dangerous.

  • Comment number 67.

    I've just read Robert X Cringely's latest comment on IT management. I can relate to a lot of what he says in his Door Number Three essay. Folks like Gordon Brown are often star performers but find the traditional hiearchies and peer groups to be a royal pain in the ass. He's a great leader and, I figure, the only reason Nick and a few other folks are taking advantage is cuz they're jealous.

    It's pretty fair to say I forsaw every major games design development over the past few years. The bitch is I didn't get my head around the implementation and it ended up biting me in the ass. It's cost me so much it's embarassing to think about it, and I see Gordon screwing up in a similar way unless he focuses on the much more everyday practical and communication issues.

    The issue of international financial policy is great but getting caught up in that is just going to take Labour's eye off the ball. Miliband is a good frontman for advocating a better approach, but Labour MPs must focus, focus, focus on helping folks get stuff done and feeling like someone gives a shit. It sounds cliche but they will succeed if they help the people succeed.

  • Comment number 68.

    Hello Charles-E-Hardwidge!



    I find your blog's

    A reflection of inner control,
    beaming the light, to others

    A sense of purpose and knowledge
    and the calm hand shall still the storm.

    pray to continue.............speaking words of wisdom.





  • Comment number 69.

    This is the most fantastic media invention yet! Milliband supports Brown and the Labour Party but the ITV and BBC political teams know better! Despite the evidence of our ears and eyes, they tell us that this is a manifestation of a leadership bid! Nick, your arrogance has reached new levels - do you really believe that we are so stupid that we can't interpret what we view? The media are now inventing the news and the BBC political team are soaring ahead in the 'art' of replacing reportage with editorialism. When your team can't exult over a real gaffe, they invent one. The pretense is journalism, the intent is a lie!

  • Comment number 70.

    'Dave' and his motley crew


    While someone's mentioning it, what happened to Brother Love's Travelling Salvation Show? Did "Dave" bottle out or lack the stamina, or what? Maybe it's cuz he thought dad dancing his way to the general election was a vote loser. Damn, and I was so looking forward to having a chance to shred Cameron. Ya, know - teaching the Bullingdon Bully that it takes more than mouth to be hard. Him and that Osborn fella need to learn there's more to life than book learning and smoking cigars with their pals. Might do the critters some good.
  • Comment number 71.

    Labour's next leader? I caught Miliband's finger wagging speech and felt like I was being lectured to by an eager tutor who was talking about one subject while meaning a nother. The listeners soon lost interest in what he was actually saying as they wandered about, chatted to one another, and dutifully clapped in the right places.
    This is modern politics. No-one except the media was expecting Miliband to put his head above the parapit, especially during conference season.

  • Comment number 72.

    glanafon:
    I agree entirely with you that numerous Labour hardliners on here are running scared of this topic thread. Much like the many poor rank and file contributors in my opinion to The Labour Party Conference they can't resist having a pop at The Tories (a derogatory term for Conservatives) instead of addressing the real issues that concern everyone. derekbarker even has a pop at Carol Thatcher who for his information is widely respected by her peers for her wit, intelligence and personality. She has had numerous slots on LBC radio and TV discussion programmes and is also liked by the Public. CEH must be cringing at his support for him. Speaking of CEH he makes some good points in his last paragraph of 67 but then goes and spoils it all by referring to DC as a Bullingdon Bully smoking cigars with his fellow critters. He should follow his own advice when he advises the likes of grandantidote to stop hurling abuse. It merely provides ammunition for his critics to come back at him with interest. Nor has it anything to do with the question of Labour's next leader.

  • Comment number 73.

    I've just been reading an article that made use of the term 'putsch' I introduced to this discussion some time ago. Plus, given that less than 1% of my comment has issues suggests I'm hardly "running scared". Being a nobody outnumbered by 100:1 and getting results like that is pretty good by anyone's standard.

    Maybe it's a coincidence that I suggest a perspective with Dear Leader but my personal agenda is focused on writing better stuff and being less distracted by some of the jazz around here. I'm also toying with the idea of taking some more time out. Heck, it's not like I have to post, and I'm not getting paid for it.

    Two things I've learned the hard way is you have to stay level and polish off the rough edges, so your feedback is correct in absolute terms even if it's a bit unfair. Anyone who's serious about setting a gold standard should take stuff like this seriously. In the final analysis it's what seperates the wheat from the chaff.

  • Comment number 74.

    Has anyone watched the following clip of floating voters in nManchester.

    https://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/newsnight/7624470.stm

    Its really interesting. Ordinary people comparing the leaders.

    I leave you to make your own judgement, but would like to see comments on this board.

  • Comment number 75.

    Isn't the phrase "Those Tories 'are' beatable!" seem more appropriate if they come from someone who thinks they've already lost?

    Has dave resigned himself to a future in the wilderness or is this an open but subtle critique of Mr Browns performance.

  • Comment number 76.

    I think we're all expecting a bullish speech from Gordon Brown today with no hint of humility or regret over any of his policy decisions over the past 10 years aside from the 10p tax gaffe. That will be sure to please the faithful members in the artificial bubble of The Conference Hall but will do little to assuage the concerns of ordinary people struggling to make ends meet all over the UK. Last night's Dispatches programme was a sad reminder of what a lot of of people from ordinary families to pensioners and bust bank employees are going through right now.

  • Comment number 77.

    It is not about Milliband. It is not about world prices. It is about Gordon Brown. He has not, at a personal and at a leadership level, cut the mustard in terms of respect as PM.

    He is indecisive, uninspiring, unable to carry the people or his party with him.

    So Labour, don't insult our inteligence by saying he is the man to take us forward - we simply are unable, because of the evidence of our own eyes, to believe it.

    Our view is compounded by the reaslisation now that his reputation as Chancellor is now greatly tarnished; we knew he had stealth taxed us, we did not know he had left the cupboard bare for a rainy day.

    Time to go,

  • Comment number 78.

    Brown's speech today will be like this.

    Talk of so called past achievements,
    Tory bashing,
    Credit crunch, difficult times,
    Getting on with the job,
    false promises,
    Tory bashing,
    Canned Applause.

    But in reality all mouth and no trousers, nothing will change.

  • Comment number 79.

    #47 Derekbarber

    the only people with 'silver spoons' these days are the millions of people on incapacity benefits; the millions on the dole; the millions of single mothers on state benefits and the one million extra public sector workers with defined benefit pension schemes subsidised by those paying taxes in the private sector.

    it says a great deal that that all newlabour have to offer is this ancient language of class warfare for it forebodes hat newlabour support is dwindling back to its trade union roots.

    the bleating at yesterdays conference to tax the rich, for windfall taxes on energy companies are just another hark back to these roots. How, pray, do newlabour to propose to pay for the billions it will cost to upgrade and rebuild our power stations if they levy a windfall tax on the energy companies?

    Upside down thinking from upside down politicans who have nowhere to turn for another injection of someone else's money.

    Newlabour are beginning to look like abunch of tragic addicts with one side calling for cold turkey and the other for just one more fix of cash.

    it would be funny if they weren't the government.

    Call an election.

  • Comment number 80.


    This thread sums up all that is wrong with the British Electorate at the moment.

    Hurt by the global whirlwind that surrounds us you lash out for someone to blame.

    The man in charge rightly puts himself in the firing line, says he could have done better and proposes some carefully thought out policies to address deficencies in financial regulation.

    What does the British public do, whinge because he doesnt have a quick fix solution. We are supposed to be adults we are supposed to realise that the world doesnt work like that.

    Noone else is suggesting anything that would work any better mind you. David Cameron just carps from the sidelines like a demented irish leprachaun saying "I wouldnt have started from here". The root cause of the issue however is the American policy of irresponsible lending to deadbeat american hicks, nothing Gordon Brown could have done to alter that fact.

    Come to pre-budget report we have clear indications that public spending will be maintained with target fiscal stimulus to support the economy, increasing endebtedness in the short term to promote growth and prosperity. In said of welcoming this like they did when the liberal democrats proposed a similar sensible approach, all the public can do is carp on about the golden rule.

    It is about time we as a nation grew up collectively realised we need to take personal responsibility for our personal finances and realise we live in a globalised world in which commodities and energy resources are in scarce supply. We have been living beyond our means both personally and collectively, all the government can hope to do is cushion the transition into the new world order.

  • Comment number 81.

    This comment was removed because the moderators found it broke the house rules. Explain.

  • Comment number 82.

    78 WTF

    Correct. Brown has only one direction (the wrong one) and one speed (slow).

    All is lost. And I think Miliband has made a big mistake with his "Heseltine moment" comment.

    Hope to make friends and influence people!!!

  • Comment number 83.

    Charles_E_Hogwash @67 wrote:

    "It's pretty fair to say I forsaw every major games design development over the past few years.'

    And you can, of course, refer us to independent authorities who can back up such a claim.

    (And you probably invented the internet too while you were at it. Or are you sharing that glory with Al Gore?).

    I see that you have the fulsome support of Derek Barking @68. That must be reassuring.

    Or perhaps not.

  • Comment number 84.

    # 79 Alf Garnet

    Your excellent outbursts hark back to a bygone era. Redolent with prejudice and misguided fury ... but funny too, if read in a generous spirit, so I'm fine for you to carry on if you want to.

  • Comment number 85.

    80 sotonblogger

    I think you are completely wrong.

    The problem for Brown has been the drip[, drip, drip over the past ELEVEN years, as highlighted by hundreds of posts giving lists of Brown "initiatives" that are now seen to be upsetting the voting public. Stealth taxes are just one area where people are now regretting having him as Chancellor.

    Have a look at this

    https://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/newsnight/7624470.stm

    to understand the public feeling.

    Add to this that Brown is an unlikeable person, no charisma whatsover, and is seen as a loner who needs to control everything, and I think you may understand the reason why Brown and his government are so unpopular.

  • Comment number 86.

    #79

    Robin, a rolling programme, that delivers the best for all of the nation, is not a static stone.

    Only labour can deliver on the NHS, transport, education, employment, housing, business.

    A future Britain, where the whole of society has a part to play, yes, Robin, energy tamed, then expanded by labour.

    I.T. not just for the rich, labour will deliver to advance the whole nation.

    Robin, close the book of old habits and support this nation as it looks to the future
    labour...labour...labour..we are building this future for you and me and all of our citizens,
    come on board and stop looking back.

  • Comment number 87.

    Does anyone agree with me that Gordo is starting to look like Richard Nixon just before he resigned?

  • Comment number 88.

    #83

    Max, that was a hole lot of nothing,
    perhaps your septic tank is half empty...

  • Comment number 89.

    88 DB

    Did you mean sceptic?

  • Comment number 90.

    # 80 Soton

    Not how this blog works, I'm afraid.

    What happens is Nick Robinson writes a little piece and then a whole load of small minded reactionaries (a type you may have thought had disappeared at about the same time as the Bay City Rollers) start talking to themselves about the evils of the modern world. Country's going to the dogs, everyone who isn't a single mother works for a quango, that sort of thing ...

  • Comment number 91.

    #89

    No....sceptic... thats the tories on the EU

  • Comment number 92.

    #86

    I cannot bring myself to vote for a party that did not propose a single power station, motorway, road, airport or train station in eleven years in power.

    Look at what has taken place in Europe during this time.

    Newlabour wasted eleven years of oil revenues on fruitless initiatives and quangos.

    I will not vote for a government that gives people more money for working fewer hours as the did to GPs and consultants; this shows a crass misunderstanding of the simplest economics.

    There is no book of old or new habits there is only the way forward without this hectoring, spying, taxing, interfering and incompetent government.

    'energy tamed, then expanded by labour' ...just words Derek. Just words with neither the manner nor method of implementation.

    All newlabour policy is hyperbole - and intellectual snobbery. Ideology doesn't work. Idealogy has given us a ruinous culture of entitlement in children and youth culture when the reality is none of us are entitled to anyhing except the spark of life with which we are born.

    As for looking back; I can't stop looking back at the eleven years newlabour have wasted when they could have been investing in this country's future instead of handing out cash to every minority interest group they could find.

    newlabour will disappear off the map at the next election and I will not be sorry to see their ideological dogma go with it.

    the future's bright; the future without newlabour.

  • Comment number 93.

    "Brown will pledge to help 1.4 million children get access to the internet at home by giving poorer families vouchers worth £700."

    Throwing money at "poorer families" yet again. Why can't the little dears use the public library for their internet usage, or even the books contained therein?

    Broadband/dial-up is dirt cheap these days and practically any old computer is powerful enough to surf the internet, so if the underclass want to harness the global information repository that is the internet shouldn't they be doing that already to improve their chances in life?

  • Comment number 94.

    #87

    yes, he looks exactly like Ricahrd Nixon... and I suspect we're about to have a similar scandal. 'There'll be no climbing down, in climb-Downing street'

  • Comment number 95.

    # 77 Jon

    Only reason for the "stealth taxes" is because the public wanted the higher spending but couldn't stomach a straightforward rise in the headline rates. A shame but that's the public for you. It's not ideal but they have to be treated like children sometimes ... check out the sort of stuff that gets posted here and you'll see why that's the case.

  • Comment number 96.

    # 87 Mike

    Yes, Nixon, very much so. Although he seems a bit better now, I think because he feels he is going to pull through. I don't think he is though. I see him having to step down by Christmas.

    Labour, with a new leader, have a glimmer of a chance to turn things around if they get back to being a party of the progressive Left.

  • Comment number 97.

    # 94 Robin

    "no climb down in climbdowning street"

    That's a good joke. It's original and quite sweet. I really like it.

    Why not ditch the usual ill informed, poisonous ranting in favour of more stuff like that?

  • Comment number 98.

    #92

    Robin, there is strength in unity, there is purpose in progress.

    Robin, change for change sake is not a real answer.

    Robin, I'm sure you dont really think that performance related pay is good example of progression.

    Robin, what political party, do you think can address your concerns.

  • Comment number 99.

    Robin, a rolling programme, that delivers the best for all of the nation, is not a static stone.

    Only labour can deliver on the NHS, transport, education, employment, housing, business.


    Bwahahahahahaha.

    Comical Ali lives.

    Our warriors are crushing the American forces. The crows feast on the bodies of the imperialist yankee agressors. Labour is delivering a rolling programme....housing bwahahahahah.

    Ha.

    Ha.

    Ha.

  • Comment number 100.

    Nick,

    Can you confirm whether Gordon is about to provide, not only the PC and broadband access to poorer families, but also the necessary internet security software to prevent them from ID fraud, etc?

    Personally, I believe the proposal is far more about monitoring the poor who currently sit outside the all encompassing electronic web that the rest of us are exposed to each and every day.

    All the best

 

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